网上棋牌游戏哪个好

    <dir id='hkgf2'><del id='hkgf2'><del id='hkgf2'></del><pre id='hkgf2'><pre id='hkgf2'><option id='hkgf2'><address id='hkgf2'></address><bdo id='hkgf2'><tr id='hkgf2'><acronym id='hkgf2'><pre id='hkgf2'></pre></acronym><div id='hkgf2'></div></tr></bdo></option></pre><small id='hkgf2'><address id='hkgf2'><u id='hkgf2'><legend id='hkgf2'><option id='hkgf2'><abbr id='hkgf2'></abbr><li id='hkgf2'><pre id='hkgf2'></pre></li></option></legend><select id='hkgf2'></select></u></address></small></pre></del><sup id='hkgf2'></sup><blockquote id='hkgf2'><dt id='hkgf2'></dt></blockquote><blockquote id='hkgf2'></blockquote></dir><tt id='hkgf2'></tt><u id='hkgf2'><tt id='hkgf2'><form id='hkgf2'></form></tt><td id='hkgf2'><dt id='hkgf2'></dt></td></u>
  1. <code id='hkgf2'><i id='hkgf2'><q id='hkgf2'><legend id='hkgf2'><pre id='hkgf2'><style id='hkgf2'><acronym id='hkgf2'><i id='hkgf2'><form id='hkgf2'><option id='hkgf2'><center id='hkgf2'></center></option></form></i></acronym></style><tt id='hkgf2'></tt></pre></legend></q></i></code><center id='hkgf2'></center>

      <dd id='hkgf2'></dd>

        <style id='hkgf2'></style><sub id='hkgf2'><dfn id='hkgf2'><abbr id='hkgf2'><big id='hkgf2'><bdo id='hkgf2'></bdo></big></abbr></dfn></sub>
        <dir id='hkgf2'></dir>
      1. <tr id='c2t5d'><strong id='c2t5d'></strong><small id='c2t5d'></small><button id='c2t5d'></button><li id='c2t5d'><noscript id='c2t5d'><big id='c2t5d'></big><dt id='c2t5d'></dt></noscript></li></tr><ol id='c2t5d'><option id='c2t5d'><table id='c2t5d'><blockquote id='c2t5d'><tbody id='c2t5d'></tbody></blockquote></table></option></ol><u id='c2t5d'></u><kbd id='c2t5d'><kbd id='c2t5d'></kbd></kbd>

        <code id='c2t5d'><strong id='c2t5d'></strong></code>

        <fieldset id='c2t5d'></fieldset>
              <span id='c2t5d'></span>

                  <ins id='c2t5d'></ins>
                  <acronym id='c2t5d'><em id='c2t5d'></em><td id='c2t5d'><div id='c2t5d'></div></td></acronym><address id='c2t5d'><big id='c2t5d'><big id='c2t5d'></big><legend id='c2t5d'></legend></big></address>

                  <i id='c2t5d'><div id='c2t5d'><ins id='c2t5d'></ins></div></i>
                  <i id='c2t5d'></i>
                1. <dl id='c2t5d'></dl>
                  1. <small id='agus5'></small><noframes id='agus5'>

                  2. <tfoot id='agus5'></tfoot>

                      <legend id='agus5'><style id='agus5'><dir id='agus5'><q id='agus5'></q></dir></style></legend>
                      <i id='agus5'><tr id='agus5'><dt id='agus5'><q id='agus5'><span id='agus5'><b id='agus5'><form id='agus5'><ins id='agus5'></ins><ul id='agus5'></ul><sub id='agus5'></sub></form><legend id='agus5'></legend><bdo id='agus5'><pre id='agus5'><center id='agus5'></center></pre></bdo></b><th id='agus5'></th></span></q></dt></tr></i><div id='agus5'><tfoot id='agus5'></tfoot><dl id='agus5'><fieldset id='agus5'></fieldset></dl></div>

                          <bdo id='agus5'></bdo><ul id='agus5'></ul>

                          1. <li id='agus5'><abbr id='agus5'></abbr></li>
                          2. Contact

                            The ECRI Approach

                            The Forecasting Challenge

                            Many believe that recessions are hard to predict, and for good reason. As an IMF study of economist forecasts from 63 countries concluded, their “record of failure to predict recessions is virtually unblemished.”

                            But it is wrong to think that predicting recessions is impossible: as The Economist magazine noted in 2005, “ECRI is perhaps the only organisation to give advance warning of each of the past three recessions; just as impressive, it has never issued a false alarm.”

                            Forecasting turning points in economic growth and inflation is exactly what ECRI does.

                            网上棋牌游戏哪个好Most forecasters use models that reduce a complex economy to a rigid set of largely backward-looking relationships. Simply put, they try to predict the near future based on what has happened in the recent past. This can work for a while – until the critical moment when a turning point approaches, and such models reliably fail. This is because extrapolating from the recent past is a sure-fire recipe for being surprised by the next turn.

                            Our Advantage: Strong Foundation, Ongoing Advances

                            A century-long tradition of business cycle research gives ECRI a singular perspective on the ebb and flow of the economy, even in the face of unexpected shocks. Our approach builds on the work of ECRI's co-founder, Geoffrey H. Moore, and his mentors, Wesley C. Mitchell and Arthur F. Burns.

                            Our track record reflects the major strides we have made since our array of leading indexes reached critical mass, allowing us to systematically monitor the lions’ share of global cycles.

                            • A comprehensive framework of leading indexes for key aspects of each economy.
                            • Broad international coverage of over 22 economies, including the first-ever leading indicator systems for China, India, Brazil and Russia.
                            • Monitoring global cyclical contagion.
                            ECRI's forecasting framework is the state of the art.

                            网上棋牌游戏哪个好Our indicator systems are designed to predict the timing of future changes in the economy's direction. They signal those turns before the fact, and well before the consensus. ECRI's focus is on identifying when those changes in direction will occur (see chart).

                            Leading Indexes can Time Turns

                            According to the mainstream view, recessions are caused by shocks propagating through the economy. In contrast, our framework, based on many decades of research, finds that endogenous cyclical forces periodically open up windows of cyclical vulnerability that make it much easier for exogenous shocks to precipitate recessions. In the absence of cyclical weakness, such shocks are not recessionary. Because our leading indexes monitor when the economy becomes susceptible to shocks, they effectively anticipate recessions.

                            About Business Cycles

                            Monitoring Business Cycles Today

                            网上棋牌游戏哪个好See the state of the art.

                            Learn more

                            Our Track Record

                            ECRI Services

                            Highlights of ECRI's calls.

                            View the Timeline

                            ECRI Services

                            The clarity and conviction to break from the crowd at the right time.

                            Learn More

                            Testimonial

                            Nothing in the world compares with ECRI's insights into the business cycle. Those insights form a key part of our strategic and tactical management of asset class allocations. We have never been disappointed in following what ECRI's indicators suggest is likely to occur next.
                            - ECRI Client
                            Your work stands alone in the industry. I wholeheartedly value and endorse your service!
                            - ECRI Client
                            I find that ECRI's historical knowledge of economic cycles and data is almost as important to me as your indicators of future cycles.
                            - ECRI Client
                            This approach works like a charm.
                            - Forbes Magazine
                            For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
                            - Grant's Interest Rate Observer
                            ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
                            - ECRI Client
                                       

                            娱乐正规网址-Welcome 疯狂牛牛安卓---网上棋牌游戏哪个好_欢迎您 平台正规博彩-网上棋牌游戏哪个好 乐酷棋牌---网上棋牌游戏哪个好_欢迎您 在线赌博最新