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                                What is a Business Cycle?

                                What is a Business Cycle?

                                网上棋牌游戏哪个好Business cycles consist of alternating periods of expansion and contraction in the level of economic activity experienced by market-oriented economies.

                                • Business cycles are a type of fluctuation in aggregate economic activity in market-oriented economies.
                                • They consist of simultaneous expansions in many economic activities, followed by similarly general recessions.
                                • This sequence of changes is recurrent but not periodic –a business cycle can last from a year to more than a decade.
                                • A business cycle cannot be divided into shorter cycles of similar character and magnitude.

                                Growth rate cycles – alternating periods of accelerating and decelerating economic growth – occur within business cycles. Growth rate cycle downturns can culminate in either recessions or soft landings that are followed by a reacceleration in economic growth. These cycles are especially relevant to cyclical fluctuations in securities markets.

                                Inflation cycles consist of alternating periods of rising and falling inflation. Inflation cycle downturns have a degree of correspondence with economic slowdowns, but sometimes begin before, rather than after, the start of a slowdown.

                                The Durability of the Cycle

                                During long periods of economic expansion, conviction inevitably grows that the business cycle is “obsolete,” because the economy has entered a “new era.”

                                网上棋牌游戏哪个好Download and read .

                                For this reason, the robustness and objectivity of ECRI's analytical framework is essential to any informed decision-making process. The reality is that, as long as we have free-market economies and human nature is prone to bouts of greed and fear, the business cycle will endure.

                                ECRI History

                                ECRI History

                                网上棋牌游戏哪个好Three generations of cycle research.

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                                Testimonial

                                In March [2009], the month the market scraped bottom, ECRI went forth with [a] tablepounding historical observation-. The implication could not have been clearer that a market rally, when it started, would be no sucker's affair but the real McCoy.
                                - Grant's Interest Rate Observer
                                "eerily accurate"
                                - National Public Radio
                                Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
                                - Alan Abelson, Barron's
                                ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
                                - ECRI Client
                                No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
                                - Fortune Magazine
                                ECRI [is] the most accurate forecasting institution in the world.
                                - Sydney Morning Herald
                                           

                                Our Track Record

                                ECRI Services

                                网上棋牌游戏哪个好Highlights of ECRI's calls.

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