网上棋牌游戏哪个好

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                  2. Contact

                    Beating the Business Cycle

                    Navigate the Road Ahead

                    Beating the Business Cycle

                    After ECRI predicted the 2001 recession, there was popular demand for a better understanding of our approach. This led to the publication of Beating the Business Cycle, written by ECRI co-founders Lakshman Achuthan and Anirvan Banerji.

                    Written in a straightforward, accessible style, the book reveals just how advanced the state of the art in cyclical forecasting has become. It also shows how decision makers at all levels — managers, small business owners, and individuals — profit when they are not blindsided by economic cycle turns.

                    Download Key Excerpts

                    • The Resurrection of Risk

                      The Resurrection of Risk

                      pp. 3-16

                      A shift from boom to bust, from economic expansion to recession, can be painful, even tragic, for those blindsided by the downturn. Whether a mild recession or a major depression lies ahead, you can be forewarned and forearmed, protecting your interests by staying ahead of the crowd.

                    • Definition of The Business Cycle

                      Business Cycle Definition

                      pp. 69-72

                      网上棋牌游戏哪个好In contrast to simplistic “rules,” the classical definition of business cycles is a sophisticated description of what occurs at cyclical upturns and downturns. This knowledge will serve you well the next time confusion reigns about whether a recession has begun or if a recovery is for real.

                    • How the Leading Indicators Compare

                      How the Leading Indicators Compare

                      pp. 82-84

                      As a review of recent history reveals, leading indicators are not all created equal. Understanding their evolution over more than a century provides critical insights.

                    • Dangers of Data Fitting

                      Dangers of Data Fitting

                      pp. 90-93

                      网上棋牌游戏哪个好Many economists tend to create models or simplified representations of the economy that assume recent trends will continue into the future — a surefire recipe for missing an economic cycle turning point.

                    • Putting it All Together

                      Putting It All Together

                      pp. 116-124

                      By the turn of century, our observations crystallized to form the multidimensional framework that we call the economic cycle cube. It gives us a representation of what is going on in the economy's complex dynamic system.

                    Beating the Business Cycle is available as a digital edition.

                    ECRI History

                    ECRI History

                    网上棋牌游戏哪个好Three generations of cycle research.

                    View the Timeline

                    Testimonial

                    In March [2009], the month the market scraped bottom, ECRI went forth with [a] tablepounding historical observation-. The implication could not have been clearer that a market rally, when it started, would be no sucker's affair but the real McCoy.
                    - Grant's Interest Rate Observer
                    Over the last 15 years, [ECRI] has gotten all of its recession calls right, while issuing no false alarms. Oct. 2011
                    - The New York Times
                    (ECRI's) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.
                    - Fortune 100 Company
                    For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
                    - Grant's Interest Rate Observer
                    As an investment strategist, I need to navigate the many twists and turns in the emerging economic landscape with as much foresight as possible to know when to take or avoid risk. In this quest, ECRI's array of leading indices, specifically designed to predict and navigate economic turning points, have been an indispensible tool.
                    - ECRI Client
                    ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
                    - ECRI Client
                               

                    ECRI Services

                    The clarity and conviction to break from the crowd at the right time.

                    Learn More

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