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                              • Contact

                                Monitoring Business Cycles Today

                                A Framework That Provides Clarity

                                During periods of so-called “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be evidence of a countertrend.

                                The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators an assessment of cyclical turning point risk. But a single composite index is not enough.

                                • To monitor the U.S. economy alone, we use an array of more than a dozen specialized leading indexes in the context of the ECRI framework for incorporating various sectors and aspects of the economy.

                                State of the Art of Major Economies

                                • The ECRI framework covers 22 economies, incorporating indexes designed to be comparable across borders. Collectively, these add up to well over 100 proprietary indexes.

                                State-of-the-Art Forecasting

                                网上棋牌游戏哪个好Our ability to predict turning points has advanced considerably since the original index of leading economic indicators (LEI) was created by ECRI co-founder Geoffrey H. Moore and adopted by the U.S. government in the 1960s. Building on that foundation, by the mid-1990s ECRI had developed a far more sophisticated framework for analyzing international economic cycles at the cutting edge of business cycle research and forecasting. Today, ECRI uses this highly nuanced “many-cycles” view to monitor the complex dynamics of the global economy.

                                Our Track Record

                                ECRI Services

                                Highlights of ECRI's calls.

                                View the Timeline

                                Testimonial

                                Your work stands alone in the industry. I wholeheartedly value and endorse your service!
                                - ECRI Client
                                ...a unique set of insights that made me able to cut through a lot of the noise in the market place... the tools ECRI provide in calling decelerating (or accelerating) growth is unmatched.
                                - ECRI Client
                                Over the last 15 years, [ECRI] has gotten all of its recession calls right, while issuing no false alarms. Oct. 2011
                                - The New York Times
                                ECRI has had a very stellar record. They've been making pretty bold calls and going against the conventional wisdom. So far their record has been one of the most impressive, and has been written up in the press as well as talked about in policy circles.
                                - IMF
                                Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
                                - Alan Abelson, Barron's
                                ECRI is perhaps the only organisation to give advance warning of each of the past three recessions; just as impressive, it has never issued a false alarm. Jan. 2005
                                - The Economist
                                           

                                ECRI History

                                ECRI History

                                Three generations of cycle research.

                                View the Timeline

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