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                              • Contact

                                Monitoring Business Cycles Today

                                A Framework That Provides Clarity

                                网上棋牌游戏哪个好During periods of so-called “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be evidence of a countertrend.

                                The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators an assessment of cyclical turning point risk. But a single composite index is not enough.

                                • To monitor the U.S. economy alone, we use an array of more than a dozen specialized leading indexes in the context of the ECRI framework for incorporating various sectors and aspects of the economy.

                                State of the Art of Major Economies

                                • The ECRI framework covers 22 economies, incorporating indexes designed to be comparable across borders. Collectively, these add up to well over 100 proprietary indexes.

                                State-of-the-Art Forecasting

                                网上棋牌游戏哪个好Our ability to predict turning points has advanced considerably since the original index of leading economic indicators (LEI) was created by ECRI co-founder Geoffrey H. Moore and adopted by the U.S. government in the 1960s. Building on that foundation, by the mid-1990s ECRI had developed a far more sophisticated framework for analyzing international economic cycles at the cutting edge of business cycle research and forecasting. Today, ECRI uses this highly nuanced “many-cycles” view to monitor the complex dynamics of the global economy.

                                Our Track Record

                                ECRI Services

                                Highlights of ECRI's calls.

                                View the Timeline

                                Testimonial

                                No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
                                - Fortune Magazine
                                (ECRI's) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.
                                - Fortune 100 Company
                                Nothing in the world compares with ECRI's insights into the business cycle. Those insights form a key part of our strategic and tactical management of asset class allocations. We have never been disappointed in following what ECRI's indicators suggest is likely to occur next.
                                - ECRI Client
                                ECRI is perhaps the only organisation to give advance warning of each of the past three recessions; just as impressive, it has never issued a false alarm. Jan. 2005
                                - The Economist
                                Your work stands alone in the industry. I wholeheartedly value and endorse your service!
                                - ECRI Client
                                In March [2009], the month the market scraped bottom, ECRI went forth with [a] tablepounding historical observation-. The implication could not have been clearer that a market rally, when it started, would be no sucker's affair but the real McCoy.
                                - Grant's Interest Rate Observer
                                           

                                ECRI History

                                ECRI History

                                Three generations of cycle research.

                                View the Timeline

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