网上棋牌游戏哪个好

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                        1. Contact

                          Turning Points & Leading Indicators

                          The ECRI Difference

                          Our indicator systems are designed to predict the timing of future changes in the economy's direction. They signal those turns before the fact, and well before the consensus. ECRI's focus is on identifying when网上棋牌游戏哪个好 those changes in direction will occur.

                          Leading Indexes can Time Turns

                          While we do not make “market calls,” our exemplary real-time record of calling cycle turning points in economic growth and inflation has helped our clients consistently outperform their peers.

                          We are not economists, and do not rely on back-fitted econometric models. In contrast, most economists rely on models that try to predict the near future based on what has happened in the recent past. This can work for a while – until the critical moment when a turning point approaches and such models reliably fail. This is because extrapolating from the recent past is a sure-fire recipe for being surprised by the next turn.

                          Furthermore, our solid grasp of where we are in any given cycle let’s us strip out the cyclical component, leaving behind what is structural. This provides us with timely insights into structural changes.

                          Monitoring the Business Cycle

                          A century-long tradition of business cycle research gives ECRI a singular perspective on the ebb and flow of the economy, even in the face of unexpected shocks. Our approach is informed by the fundamental drivers of economic cycles. It is an approach pioneered by ECRI's co-founder, Geoffrey H. Moore, and his mentors, Wesley C. Mitchell and Arthur F. Burns.

                          In 1950, Moore built on his mentors' findings to develop the first leading indicators of both revival and recession. In the 1960s he developed the original index of leading economic indicators (LEI). It is a testament to the quality of that breakthrough that, nearly half a century later, many still believe the LEI and its variants to be the best tools for cycle forecasting.

                          However, building on that foundation, by the late 1990s ECRI had developed a far more sophisticated framework for analyzing international economic cycles that remains at the cutting edge of business cycle research and forecasting.

                          Our Track Record

                          ECRI Services

                          网上棋牌游戏哪个好Highlights of ECRI's calls.

                          View the Timeline

                          Testimonial

                          ...a unique set of insights that made me able to cut through a lot of the noise in the market place... the tools ECRI provide in calling decelerating (or accelerating) growth is unmatched.
                          - ECRI Client
                          Over the last 15 years, [ECRI] has gotten all of its recession calls right, while issuing no false alarms. Oct. 2011
                          - The New York Times
                          "eerily accurate"
                          - National Public Radio
                          ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
                          - ECRI Client
                          Your work stands alone in the industry. I wholeheartedly value and endorse your service!
                          - ECRI Client
                          In the opinion littered world of economic forecasting, ECRI is Mr. Spock - deeply analytical, dispassionate, and accurate.
                          - ECRI Client
                                     

                          ECRI Services

                          网上棋牌游戏哪个好The clarity and conviction to break from the crowd at the right time.

                          Learn More

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